Well, according to pretty much all preseason predictions, St. John's pulls up the rear. And Ken Pomeroy's well-respected predictions are no exception.
What you read below is the table taken from KenPom.com, with projected conference wins, losses, projected winning percentage against an average Division 1 team (listed here as "Pyth"), the ranking of that winning percentage, and adjusted (for schedule strength) offensive and defensive efficiencies - with ranks among Division I teams.
|Num||Team||Proj W||Proj L||Pyth||Pom Rank||AdjO||AdjO Rank||AdjD||AdjD Rank|
Predictions are not reality, especially for a team with so many new pieces. But it's interesting that Pomeroy expects the team, with so many freshmen and new transfers, will be an outlier in terms of offensive efficiency.
And if you were looking closely, maybe you could see that at Red Storm Tip-Off. It wasn't a serious game, it was fun, but the team's defense looked to be ahead of the offense. And as scoring goes, besides Durand Johnson's three point shot, Darien Williams' inside-out ability at the junior college level and Marcus LoVett's ability to create shots, it was hard to see where the scoring was going to come from.
And LoVett's ability to create shots (assuming he is eligible - no confirmation on that yet) doesn't mean he will MAKE those shots. Remember, he is a 6-foot tall guard moving up to a major basketball conference.
But as LoVett said at St. John's Media Day, "as long as we're in the gym and we're working hard together as a team that will say more than some rankings."